Saturday, February 06, 2010

The slowly fracturing Indo-US relationship

One of the best things that happened since the Clinton years, and into the Bush presidency as well, was India and the US coming closer than ever before.  Of course, this was a dividend thanks to the end of the Cold War--during the decades of US/USSR rivalry, the US always leaned in favor of Pakistan and against India, despite the fact that India was the democracy and Pakistan was, well, to put it mildly, not a democracy :)

But, yet again we are finding the US getting trapped in crazy geopolitical realpolitik and, therefore, beginning to sideline India.  It is all in the AfPak policy we are pursuing.  The result: even though India is the most popular country in Afrghanistan,
India, the only stable secular democracy in the region, is being actively prevented from helping in Afghanistan in order to appease the Pakistani regime, lest it re-enact the carnage that was visited upon Mumbai in 2008 and the Indian Embassy in Kabul in 2008 and 2009. Which raises the question: Is the U.S. objective in Afghanistan to oust the Taliban, or is it to secure the country for Pakistan? To New Delhi, the answer looks increasingly like the latter.

Washington's critics trace the origins of today's crisis to the United States' abrupt abandonment of Afghanistan in the late 1980s. The trouble with this version of history is that it skips over the 1990s. But contrary to what is now conventional wisdom in the West, the Taliban in its current incarnation is not a remnant of the Cold War. It is a creation of Pakistan. It was during the 1990s that the Taliban -- actively backed by Pakistan -- seized control of Kabul. Since then, New Delhi has witnessed Afghanistan become a launching pad for anti-India terrorism.
Today, the tragic irony of President Barack Obama, who invokes the virtues of Martin Luther King, Jr. and Mahatma Gandhi while simultaneously making overtures to the Taliban in an oxymoronic pursuit for "moderate extremists," has not been lost on India. A tiny but vocal band of skeptics in India is already questioning the wisdom of New Delhi's alignment with the United States over the last ten years. Of course, it is unlikely that New Delhi would directly oppose U.S. policy in the region. But in the first year of the Obama administration, much of the progress achieved over a decade of aggressive diplomacy to bring India closer to the United States has been undone.
Hmmmm .....

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