Friday, September 28, 2012

What the f&#@ did we accomplish in Afghanistan?

The war at Afghanistan began on October 7, 2001.  In less than ten days from now, we will have completed eleven years there!

Two years ago, the following cartoon summed it up pretty well.


Of course, in the two years after that cartoon was published, Osama bin Laden was killed.

The two years since the cartoon were also the years of the "surge."  That phase ended, and US troop strength in Afghanistan is back to pre-surge levels.  What is the verdict?
The U.S. troop surge in Afghanistan ended last week. Conditions in Afghanistan are mostly worse than before it began.
That conclusion doesn’t come from anti-war advocates. It relies on data recently released by the NATO command in Afghanistan, known as ISAF, and acquired by Danger Room. According to most of the yardsticks chosen by the military — but not all — the surge in Afghanistan fell short of its stated goal: stopping the Taliban’s momentum.
Of course, that’s not ISAF’s spin. The command notes that enemy attacks from January to August 2012 are slightly lower, by 5 percent, from that period last year; and that the past two Augusts show a reduction in attacks of 30 percent. But the more relevant comparison is to 2009, when Afghanistan looked like such a mess that President Obama substantially increased troop levels. And compared to 2009, Afghanistan does not look improved.
FUBAR!

This term, I have quite a few students in my classes who are veterans of the Iraq or Afghanistan wars.  If not for the asymmetric relationship forced upon us in the classroom, I would so much like to ask them for their honest assessment of whether it was worth it. 


1 comment:

Ramesh said...

Oh you should ask them for their opinion - to hell with asymmetric relationships. They were on the ground. They know best.

I would be much more charitable in assessing the outcome of the war on Afghanistan. Take 2001. The Taliban were in control. They were spreading terror everywhere. Safe sanctuary for Al Qaeda. And now - Taliban very much on the run. Al Qaeda smashed. Afghan life immeasurably better than it was in 2001. Yes there is still a lot of violence and mayhem - but it would have been many times worse if America had not intervened. In some places there cannot be victory - but containment is also a victory of sorts. Whether it was worth the price is another matter, but I wouldn't be so harsh in assessing America's contribution.