The stock market plunged by more than 4 percent yesterday in its worst day in more than two years and investors flooded safe-haven investment alternatives, driven by escalating fears the wobbly global economy may stumble into a new recession.While one swallow doesn't make a summer, the high probability of an economic catastrophe has always been talked and written about, even in this blog. And I am not even an economist or a banker! So, it is not as if we are merely looking at this one day stock market event.
First, a recap of the nightmarish situation:
A Month of Awful NewsRobert Reich is furious, and he is darn right:
June was a very weak month for the U.S. economy, and our data from July so far isn't looking good. Some quick highlights:
These would all be very bad signs in a healthy economy. In a weak recovery -- a time when business activity should be above average -- they're even worse. Although we appeared to climbing out of the abyss in early 2011, it no longer looks like we're even treading water. In fact, we may be drowning again.
- Hiring was nearly stagnant in May and June.
- Real consumer spending fell from April through June.
- Small business optimism has been falling four months running.
- Home sales continue to struggle.
- The manufacturing sector is flirting with contraction.
- U.S. growth was less than 1% in the first half.
Republicans repeatedly assured the nation that once the debt-limit deal was done – capping spending, cutting the budget deficit, and getting “90 percent” of what they wanted — the economy would bounce back.Dr. Doom is on a spree of what essentially is "I told you so" ... like this one:
Just the opposite seems to be happening.
Call it the Republican’s double-dip recession.
Wall Street investors aren’t ideologues. They don’t obsess about budget deficits ten years from now, or the size of the government. One day doesn’t make a trend, but a giant sell-off like this is motivated by hard, cold realities.
QE3 started in Japan & Switzerland via fx action &/or monetary easing. Fed will eventually get to QE3 but it will be too little too lateOh, how I wish I had no interest in public policy issues at all; life will be so much without worries!
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