We simply cannot responsibly gauge the pace of the recovery. Nor is it even clear whether we are better off with a fast recovery or a slow one. A fast recovery could create an acute risk of dangerously high inflation. A slow recovery could greatly increase the size of the federal deficit, threatening all sorts of economic and political harms, with eventual unacceptable inflation only one of them. I am particularly concerned with the danger of social and political turmoil if high unemployment and related economic pathologies persist. We are now in the third year of a depression. The economic crisis continues to occupy center stage despite all the other news assailing us.Am glad that the prolific Posner is returning to blog at the Atlantic. Boy is he a one-man-writing-machine! BTW, I wonder if his economics colleagues at Chicago have resumed talking with him :) In case you are wondering what I am talking about, here is the New Yorker piece.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Quote of the day: Richard Posner on the state of the economy
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