The end is nigh!

I hope that a very long 2020 will end soon!

Looking forward to normal life resuming in a few months.

But these risks feel like fairly low probability events. As dire as things look now, I think the likeliest outcome is a pretty good situation in February which – if we’re lucky (and there hasn’t been much luck in 2020-21) – will be our durable state by 2nd quarter, 2022.(23/24)

— Bob Wachter (@Bob_Wachter) December 29, 2021